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Credit Risk

Revised to take into consideration the impact of the global credit crisis, this state-of-the-art credit risk course is essential for every risk management professional. 

Course Highlights

Attend this three-day course and you will gain a comprehensive understanding of:

  • The techniques to effectively manage credit risk in portfolios, loans and instruments
  • The most commonly used models for assessing the credit risk exposure of a single couterparty or of a multiple portfolio
  • An in-depth analysis of portfolio performance and portfolio optimisation
  • Securitisation techniques, CDO products and credit derivative instruments and how they are used to mitigate credit exposure and minimise regulatory capital
  • The new regulatory requirements for credit risk and the techniques to successfully implement Basel II
  • Real-life case studies and hands-on exercises for practical credit risk assessment

For details of the course trainer, please download the course brochure

Booking Information

Dates Prices Book This Course Discount
22 - 24 Sep 2010
£ 2299
Book the course now.
-
21 - 23 Mar 2011
£ 2299
Book the course now.
-

Course Programme

DAY ONE

Introduction to Fundamental Credit Risk and Analysis

  • What is credit risk and how does it arise?
  • Definitions of default, failure to pay and other events
  • Simple models of corporate structure and default processes
  • Credit risk as default probability, recovery rates and exposure
  • Relationship to balance sheet and cashflow statements
  • Relationships to debt and equity prices
  • Ratings agents approach to credit risk Portfolio Credit Risk
  • Probability of default, loss given default and correlation of default
  • Credit risk of portfolios compared with single positions
  • Loss distributions and relationship to expected loss,worst credit loss, economic and regulatory capital
  • Introduction to portfolio credit risk models
    • CreditRisk+
    • CreditMetrics
    • McKinsey
  • Optimising portfolios for best risk / return

PC Workshop

Spreadsheet exercises using simple portfolio credit model

 

DAY TWO

Overview of Basic Statistics

  • Some elementary statistics
    • Volatility of market factors
    • Exercise: Estimation of market factor volatilities
    • Covariance and correlation, correlation matrix
    • Exercise: Estimation of market factor correlations
    • Problems with real-world data
  • Monte Carlo simulation methodology
    • Overview of Monte Carlo technique
    • Choleski decomposition
    • Exercise: Performing Choleski decomposition
    • Problems with the variance/covariance matrix

Modelling Credit Exposure of Derivatives

  • Loans and derivatives
  • Transaction based models
  • Foreign exchange transactions
  • Interest rate swap transactions
  • CEF calculations
  • Effect of CMTM
  • Market factor based models
  • Counterparty exposure simulation models
  • Handling credit exposure limits
  • Integration of netting
  • Integration of margin / collateral
  • Stress testing
    • incremental transactions
    • market discontinuities

Evaluating the Credit Risk of Derivatives

  • Expected and unexpected credit loss
  • Default only versus economic loss
  • Credit loss profile
  • Simulation approach to economic capital
  • Risk rating model
  • Rating migration matrix
  • Loss given default

 

DAY THREE

Managing Credit Risk: Securitisation and Risk Transformation

  • Concepts of regulatory capital for credit risk and return on assets
  • Techniques for moving risk off balance sheet
    • securitisation and synthetic securitisation
    • CDOs and other tranche products
  • Pros and cons of securitisation for origination firms and investors

Case Study

Analysis of a CDO

Managing Credit Risk: Credit Derivatives and Risk Transfer

  • What are credit derivatives and why are they used?
  • Single name credit derivatives (unfunded and funded structures)
    • credit default swap
    • total return swap
    • first-to-default basket note
  • Pricing and risk of single obligor credit derivatives
  • Regulatory capital impacts of credit derivatives
  • Documentation and legal issues

PC Workshop

Spreadsheet exercises with single name credit derivatives

Regulatory Capital Requirements for Credit Risk

  • Regulatory capital under Basel I
  • Regulatory capital under Basel II
  • Standardised approach
  • Foundation Internal Ratings Based Approach
  • Advanced Internal Ratings Based Approach
  • Basel II Risk Weight Functions
  • Basel Trading Book Issues
    • Counterparty credit exposure
    • Double default effects
    • Short term maturity adjustment
    • Unsettled trades
  • Wrong way risk